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DPV

A poll carried out by the Palestinian Center for Public Opinion (PCPO) and

prepared by President Dr. Nabil Kukali.

(64.4%) Support to varying degrees the President Arafat

(41.4%) Support, to varying degrees Mahmoud Abbas “Abu Mazen” as a Palestinian Prime Minister.

(44.9%) support the continuation of the Intifada, while

(37.0%) call for a halt.

(65.4%) Pessimistic from the results of Al-Aqaba and Sharm Al-Sheikh

Summits regarding the future of the just peace between the

Palestinians and Israelis

Details

A.If the Palestinian Authority orders “Fatah Tanzim” and other organizations indirectly linked to the PA’s security services to hand over their weapons for confiscation or destruction. What do you believe that “Fatah Tanzim” and other organization should do?

20 Nov 2002 23 Apr 2003 30 Jun 2003

1. Hand over their weapons for confiscation and Destruction

18.7% 19.6% 9.1%

2. Hide their weapons

48.6% 46.5% 49.2%

3. Do nothing

32.7% 33.9% 41.7%

B. If municipality or village council elections being held today, which political party would you vote for?

1. People’s Party 1.1%

2. Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine (PFLP) 5.1%

3. Fatah 30.0%

4. Hamas 20.2%

5. Democratic Front for the Liberation of Palestine (DFLP) 3.2%

6. Islamic Jihad 7.6%

7. Fida 2.6%

8. Popular Struggle (Nidal) Front 1.0%

9. Independents 11.0%

10. None of the above 15.0%

11. Other 3.2%

C. When asked:’ to what degree do you support president Arafat”?

9 Jan 2003 27 Mar 2003 30 Jun 2003

1. Strongly support 17.3% 24.8% 31.7%

2. Somewhat Support 26.7% 28.5% 32.7%

3. Somewhat oppose 25.7% 27.9% 22.3%

4. Strongly oppose 29.8% 16.4% 7.2%

5. No Opinion 0.4% 2.4% 6.1%

D. How likely is it that peace will prevail with Israel in the near future?

20 Nov 2002 27 Mar 2003 30 Jun 2003

A great possibility 8.4% 9.8% 7.2%

Possible 20.5% 41.5% 37.1%

Some what impossible19.5% 15.9% 20.4%

Totally impossible 33.5% 20.0% 22.6%

I don’t know 18.1% 12.8% 12.7%

E.Do you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose, or strongly oppose the current Israeli – Palestinian security coordination?

9 Jan 200327 Mar 200330 Jun 2003

1. Strongly support 10.8% 4.1% 10.4%

2. Somewhat support 31.4% 28.7% 31.0%

3. Somewhat oppose 14.7% 22.7% 13.8%

4. Strongly oppose 25.9% 31.2% 30.7%

5. No opinion 17.2% 13.3% 14.1%

F. Are you Optimistic or Pessimistic from the results of Al-Aqaba and Sharm Al-Sheikh Summits regarding the future of the just peace between the Palestinians and Israelis?

30 Jun 2003

1. Pessimistic 65.4%

2. Optimistic 20.3%

3. Do not know 14.3%

G. Do you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose, or strongly oppose the notion that says that the political process (i.e. peace process) is the best thing we can get under current conditions (i.e. international changes):

9 Jan 2003 27 Mar 2003 30 Jun 2003

1. Strongly support 14.1% 17.0% 15.9%

2. Somewhat support 34.9% 36.8% 32.4%

3. Somewhat oppose 18.7% 17.5% 15.1%

4. Strongly oppose 20.2% 15.0% 17.2%

5. Do not know 12.1% 13.7% 19.4%

H. Some people in the West Bank and Gaza Strip support the continuation of the Intifada, while others call for a halt to it which of these two opinions is closer to yours?

9 Jan 2003 27 Mar 2003 30 Jun 2003

1. Continuation of the Intifada 46.9% 34.3% 44.9%

2. Halting the Intifada 40.9% 51.6% 37.0%

3. Do not know / refuse to answer 12.2% 14.1% 18.1%

I.Do you think that there is a Palestinian leader other than Yaser Arafat who is able to sign a peace treaty with the Israelis at present, or not?

12 Nov 200227 Mar 200330 Jun 2003

Yes 26.6% 33.3% 19.7%

No 45.5% 33.8% 53.5%

I don’t know 27.8% 32.8% 26.8%

J. Please, express the extent of your support to appointing Mr. Mahmoud Abbas “Abu Mazen “ as a Palestinian Prime Minister?

27 Mar 2003 30 Jun 2003

1. Strongly agree 16.0% 6.1%

2. Somewhat agree 26.2% 35.3%

3. Somewhat disagree 20.5% 17.2%

4. Strongly disagree 21.2% 29.2%

5. No Opinion 16.1% 12.2%

K. Do you believe or not believe that if the Israeli government’s taking serious and sincere measures to lift the siege and security belt on the Palestinian territories will alleviate violence?

20 November 20029 January 200330 Jun 2003

1. Yes 28.7% 26.8% 29.9%

2. To some extent 35.8% 34.0% 43.2%

3. No 25.8% 32.4% 17.6%

4. Do not know 9.7% 6.8% 9.3%

L. To which extent do you agree or disagree the statement that “ The start of serious and sincere negotiations between the Palestinians and Israeli leaderships will bring peace to the region”?

30 Jun 2003

1. Strongly agree 13.9%

2. Somewhat agree 37.0%

3. Somewhat disagree 23.7%

4. Strongly disagree 13.9%

5. No Opinion 11.5%

M. The Palestinian Prime Minister Mahmoud Abbas “Abu Mazen” called for a halt of the suicide attacks against the Israeli civilians to give a chance for resuming the negotiations with the Israelis. Do you support or oppose this call?

30 Jun 2003

1. Strongly support 15.4%

2. Somewhat support 26.1%

3. Somewhat oppose 20.6%

4. Strongly oppose 28.2%

5. Do not know 9.7%

N. Abu Mazen mentioned in his speech at Al-Aqaba summit held on June4, 2003 that “We shall exert all efforts and employ all our possibilities to bring the armed Intifada to an end. We have to employ the peaceful means to end the occupation and the suffering of the Palestinians and the Israelis and to build up the Palestinian State”. Do you support or Oppose this quotation?

30 Jun 2003

1. Support 24.6%

2. Oppose 57.3%

3. Do not know 18.1%

O. “Abu Mazen” mentioned in his speech: “ We shall work against any form of instigation to violence and hatred, and by whatever means such instigation may be. We shall carry out measures from our side to warrant that no any such instigation will arise from the Palestinian institutions”. Do you support or oppose this quotation? ?

30 Jun 2003

1. Support 24.1%

2. Oppose 56.2%

3. Do not know 19.7%

P. How do you in general evaluate the performance of Mr. Mahmoud Abbas “ Abu Mazen” at Al-Aqaba Summit, which has been attended by King Abdullah, President George Bosh and the Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon?

30 Jun 2003

1. Good 8.4%

4. Fair 31.6%

5. Bad 51.9%

6. Do not know 8.1%

About the poll:

A poll recently conducted by the PCPO and prepared by Dr.Nabil Kukali included a random sample of 723 adults, 18 years and older, from Gaza Strip and West Bank including East Jerusalem.

President of the PCPO, Dr. Nabil Kukali, stated that the poll took place on June 18-24, 2003 and the average age of the respondents was 31.6 years, and the margin of error was 3.6± percent points.

Kukali also stated that the percentage of female respondents was 48.9%, while that of the male ones was 51.1%. He also explained that the respondent’s location of residence was as follows: 54.5% city, 26.5% village, and 19.0% refugee camp. He pointed out to the average size of respondents’ families that was 7.1 persons, and the average number of schooling years was 12.07 years.

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